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	<title>Money Matters with Rose Greene &#187; dow jones</title>
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	<description>Certified Financial Planner and Investment Advisor, Santa Monica, California</description>
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		<title>A Wild Thursday On Wall Street</title>
		<link>http://moneymattersblog.com/investing/a-wild-thursday-on-wall-street/</link>
		<comments>http://moneymattersblog.com/investing/a-wild-thursday-on-wall-street/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 May 2010 20:08:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rose Greene, CFP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dow jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market recovery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[What’s the difference between “billions” and “millions”? About 650 points. Provided by Los Angeles Financial Planner, Rose Greene, CFP ® Did a mistake make a selloff more severe? The Dow Jones Industrial Average settled at 10,520.32 Thursday after a 347.80 loss, with fears over European sovereign debt affecting Wall Street. Yet the 347.80 decline was [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>What’s the difference between “billions” and “millions”? About 650 points</strong>.</span><br />
<strong>Provided by Los Angeles Financial Planner, Rose Greene, CFP ®</strong></p>
<p><strong>Did a mistake make a selloff more severe?</strong> The Dow Jones Industrial Average settled at 10,520.32 Thursday after a 347.80 loss, with fears over European sovereign debt affecting Wall Street. Yet the 347.80 decline was just half the story.</p>
<p>The Dow also saw its greatest-ever intraday swoon Thursday, diving 998.50 below the open at one point and taking an intraday swing of 1,007 points.<sub><span style="font-size: xx-small;">1,2</span></sub></p>
<p>What happened? At this point, it looks like the same kind of thing that happened on Black Monday in 1987: technology and trading errors betrayed Wall Street.</p>
<p><strong>That was “millions”, not “billions”! </strong>Citing multiple sources on May 6, CNBC and Reuters reported that a trader, possibly at Citigroup, mistakenly typed a “b” for billion instead of an “m” for million – apparently when authorizing a trade concerning Procter &amp; Gamble. P&amp;G shares fell 37% at one point (more than $22) before recovering to lose 3% on the market day.<span style="font-size: xx-small;"><sub>3,4,5</sub></span></p>
<p>As the selloff gained momentum, some weird things happened Thursday. In a stretch of two minutes, 16 billion e-minis (futures contracts tied to the S&amp;P 500) were sold. Accenture became a penny stock – no kidding, share values were showing up at $.01 on the New York Stock Exchange at one point. PG and 3M shares actually went below the “circuit breaker” level on the NYSE, freeing traders to purchase and sell shares of those companies on other exchanges. Clearly, technology was running wild.<span style="font-size: xx-small;"><sub>4,5,6</sub></span></p>
<p>
<div id="attachment_895" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 300px">
	<a href="http://moneymattersblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/A-Wild-Thursday.jpg" rel="lightbox[891]"><strong><img class="size-medium wp-image-895 " title="A Wild Thursday" src="http://moneymattersblog.com/login/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/A-Wild-Thursday-300x225.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="225" /></strong></a>
	<p class="wp-caption-text">Trader Steven Rickard reacts in the S&amp;P 500 futures pit at the CME Group in Chicago near the close of trading. (Associated Press, May 6, 2010)</p>
</div>
<p><strong>Will trades be erased? </strong>Apparently some will be: Thursday evening, the NASDAQ announced it would cancel all trades of stocks whose prices moved more than 60% between 2:40-3:00pm EST on May 6. Just minutes after that news item, the NYSE said it would do the exact same thing.<sub><span style="font-size: xx-small;">7</span></sub></p>
</p>
<p><strong>What’s the lesson here?</strong> Don’t panic. Be patient. Don’t succumb to impulse when it comes to stocks. In the last few years, we have seen amazing market volatility AND amazing rebounds &#8211; and the resilient bull market we’ve seen has taught every investor that stocks can impressively snap back. Curse the technology that caused this swoon if you like, but keep fundamentals and diversification ever in mind.</p>
<p>Rose Greene is a Representative with Rose Greene Financial and may be reached at <a href="http://www.rosegreene.com/">www.rosegreene.com</a>, (310)399-1200 or <a href="mailto:rose@rosegreene.com">rose@rosegreene.com</a>.</p>
<p><span style="font-size: xx-small;">This material was prepared by Peter Montoya Inc, and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting Representative or the Representative’s Broker/Dealer. This information should not be construed as investment advice. Neither the named Representative nor Broker/Dealer gives tax or legal advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information.. petermontoya.com, montoyaregistry.com, marketinglibrary.net<br />
 <br />
Citations<br />
1 – money.cnn.com/ [5/6/10]<br />
2 &#8211; cnbc.com/id/36988229 [5/6/10]<br />
3 – cnbc.com/id/36999483 [5/6/10]<br />
4 –money.cnn.com/2010/05/06/markets/markets_newyork/index.htm [4/29/10]<br />
5- cnbc.com/id/36988229 [5/6/10]<br />
6 &#8211; blogs.barrons.com/stockstowatchtoday/2010/05/06/no-ordinary-collapse-dow-snaps-back-from-1000-pt-drop/ [5/6/10]<br />
7 &#8211; reuters.com/article/idUSN0614132620100506?type=marketsNews [5/6/10]</span></p>
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		<title>European Debt and U.S. Markets</title>
		<link>http://moneymattersblog.com/investing/european-debt/</link>
		<comments>http://moneymattersblog.com/investing/european-debt/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 May 2010 22:07:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rose Greene, CFP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Confidence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dow jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreign investors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market recovery]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://moneymattersblog.com/?p=898</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Why the crisis has Wall Street stressed. Provided by Los Angeles Financial Planner, Rose Greene, CFP ® It would be wonderful if the U.S. financial markets could “decouple” themselves from what is going on in Greece, Portugal and Spain. Unfortunately, the debt situation in these countries is like a ripple in a pond. The question [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p><strong><span style="font-size: small;">Why the crisis has Wall Street stressed.</span><br />
Provided by Los Angeles Financial Planner, Rose Greene, CFP ®</strong></p>
<p>It would be wonderful if the U.S. financial markets could “decouple” themselves from what is going on in Greece, Portugal and Spain. Unfortunately, the debt situation in these countries is like a ripple in a pond. The question is, how strong will the ripple ultimately be and will its full force reach our markets?</p>
<p><strong>The problem.</strong> Greece, Spain, Portugal, Italy and Ireland are all carrying enormous debts. On May 1, the New York Times put up a chart breaking this down: Greece owes $236 billion, which believe it or not is the smallest debt among these five countries. Portugal’s debt stands at $286 billion – and it owes roughly a third of that to Spain. Spain carries around $1.1 trillion in debt, and its economy is in horrible shape (20% unemployment). According to the Bank for International Settlements, it owes $220 billion to France and $238 billion to Germany. Ireland has $867 billion in debt, with about 40% of that owed to the U.K. and Germany. Italy owes $1.4 trillion, including $511 billion to France (almost 20% of France’s GDP).<span style="font-size: xx-small;"><sub>1 <br />
</sub></span></p>
<div id="attachment_900" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 300px">
	<a href="http://moneymattersblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/Greece-Debt.jpg" rel="lightbox[898]"><img class="size-medium wp-image-900" title="Greece Debt" src="http://moneymattersblog.com/login/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/Greece-Debt-300x203.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="203" /></a>
	<p class="wp-caption-text">After the euro was launched, Greece had access to a whole bunch of cheap debt - and the country used it nonchalantly. In the years since the establishment of the euro, Greece’s debt-to-GDP ratio has remained repeatedly above 100%.2 </p>
</div>
<p>Europe’s biggest banks are heavily exposed to these debts, and so are some of ours: names like Citigroup, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley. In fact, these five banks have $2.5 trillion of cross-border exposure in the crisis, with Citigroup the most exposed. So you have potential risk to these banks, the euro, and the European and world economy.<sub><span style="font-size: xx-small;">3 <br />
</span></sub></p>
<p><strong>The offer on the table.</strong> Fortunately, Greece has the chance to accept a $146.5 million bailout from the International Monetary Fund and the European Union in exchange for austerity measures (less government spending and a lower standard of living). This would help Greece avoid default – that is, having to renegotiate its debt and possibly assume more. (As a sovereign nation, Greece cannot go bankrupt.) Many economists think Greece will go into a deep recession (or depression) which could last most of the decade.<span style="font-size: xx-small;"><sub>2,4<br />
</sub></span></p>
<p><strong>The potential ripple.</strong> It looks like the bailout will be accepted by Greece and its EU partners. This means some confidence will return and other Eurozone nations with big debts will be slightly less threatened. However, Greece still has a risk of default.</p>
<p>Should Greece default even with the bailout, some major lenders in France and Germany would be hit very hard. They would have to raise capital ratios and reduce the frequency of loans. That would hamper economic growth in France, Germany and in turn across Europe. In coming months, the U.S. and other nations could feel the pinch from such a slowdown.<span style="font-size: xx-small;"><sub>4<br />
</sub></span></p>
<p>Keep in mind, Greece only represents about 2% of the Eurozone economy.2 In the roughest scenario, Spain or Italy defaults and the shock wave to European banks (and U.S. banks exposed to the debt) is significantly greater. What would happen then? A credit freeze across Europe? Diving stocks? A trashed euro? A flight to gold?</p>
<p>These are merely scenarios, not present realities – but in a nutshell, this is what had Wall Street biting its nails this spring.</p>
<p><strong>So is the bailout truly a solution?</strong> It was unpopular throughout the EU, but the right step to take. The move certainly helped defend the stability of the euro; in fact, German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicholas Sarkozy have jointly pledged to preserve the euro’s value.<span style="font-size: xx-small;"><sub>5 <br />
</sub></span></p>
<p>The worry is that other bailouts will be needed to preserve the fiscal health of other Eurozone nations. We all hope these</p>
<p>countries can effectively manage their debt levels, for the sake of the stock market and the economy in our country.</p>
<p>Rose Greene is a Representative with Rose Greene Financial and may be reached at <a href="http://www.rosegreene.com/">www.rosegreene.com</a>, (310)399-1200or <a href="mailto:rose@rosegreene.com">rose@rosegreene.com</a>.</p>
<p><br class="spacer_" /></p>
<p><span style="font-size: xx-small;">This material was prepared by Peter Montoya Inc, and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting Representative or the Representative’s Broker/Dealer. This information should not be construed as investment advice. Neither the named Representative nor Broker/Dealer gives tax or legal advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information. petermontoya.com, montoyaregistry.com, marketinglibrary.net<br />
 <br />
Citations<br />
1 – nytimes.com/interactive/2010/05/02/weekinreview/02marsh.html [5/1/10]<br />
2 – sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/g/a/2010/05/07/investopedia44011.DTL [5/7/10]<br />
3 – msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/CNBC/Sections/News_And_Analysis/_News/__EDIT%20Englewood%20Cliffs/Bove2.pdf [5/5/10]<br />
4 – marketwatch.com/story/greek-president-the-brink-of-the-abyss-2010-05-06?dist=countdown [5/6/10]<br />
5- washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/07/AR2010050701987.html [5/7/10]<br />
6 &#8211; csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2010/0428/Republicans-relent-clear-financial-reform-bill-for-debate/%28page%29/2 [4/28/10]</span></p>
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		<title>Weekly Economic Update for March 29, 2010</title>
		<link>http://moneymattersblog.com/investing/weekly-economic-update-for-march-29-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://moneymattersblog.com/investing/weekly-economic-update-for-march-29-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Apr 2010 22:02:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rose Greene, CFP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dow jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Montoya]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Market Commentary]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://moneymattersblog.com/?p=632</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Quote of the week. “Nothing in life is to be feared. It is only to be understood.”– Marie Curie Reforms become law. President Obama signed his long-envisioned health care reforms into law on March 23, and he will sign the amendments to the bill into law on March 30. Most of the major changes will [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p style="text-align: center;">Quote of the week.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>“Nothing in life is to be feared. It is only to be understood.”– Marie Curie</strong></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>Reforms become law.</strong> President Obama signed his long-envisioned health care reforms into law on March 23, and he will sign the amendments to the bill into law on March 30. Most of the major changes will take effect in 2014, when health insurance will become compulsory for nearly all Americans. New taxes will help fund the reforms. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the modifications will cut the federal deficit by $118 billion by 2020.<sub><span style="font-size: xx-small;">1,2,3</span></sub></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>Home sales still underwhelming.</strong> Existing home sales dipped 0.6% for February while new home sales slipped 2.2% to another all-time low (although data only goes back to 1964). Any positives in the new Commerce Department report? Yes. The median sale price of new homes was about 5% above where it was a year ago.<span style="font-size: xx-small;"><sub>4</sub></span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>A gain in durable goods orders.</strong> The 0.5% rise in February was accompanied by news that durable goods inventories increased by 0.3%, the best such gain since December 2008.<span style="font-size: xx-small;"><sub>5</sub></span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>USDI surges north.</strong> When the U.S. Dollar Index is up 1.10% for the week (and 4.82% for the month), what happens with gold and oil? Well, gold and oil prices respectively fell 0.30% and 1.20% last week, with crude futures at exactly $80.00 per barrel at Friday’s close on the NYMEX.<sub><span style="font-size: xx-small;">6</span></sub></span></p>
<p><br class="spacer_" /></p>
<div id="attachment_645" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 305px">
	<a href="http://moneymattersblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/WEU032910.jpg" rel="lightbox[632]"><img class="size-full wp-image-645" title="S&amp;P 500" src="http://moneymattersblog.com/login/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/WEU032910.jpg" alt="" width="305" height="140" /></a>
	<p class="wp-caption-text">Source: CNBC.com. BigCharts.com, usteas.gov, bls.gov, 3/26/10)8,9,10. Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invest into dircetly. These returns do not include dividends.</p>
</div>
<p><br class="spacer_" /></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>S&amp;P 500 climbs 5.62% in 4 weeks.</strong> Stocks had another fine week from March 22-26, with the NASDAQ advancing 0.87%, the Dow 1.01% and the S&amp;P 500 0.58% as part of a great 4-week run.<sub><span style="font-size: xx-small;">7<br class="spacer_" /></span></sub></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong> </strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;"><strong>Riddle of the week.</strong> Two-and-a-half artists spend two-and-a-half hours painting two-and-a-half models on two-and-a-half canvases. How many artists would be necessary to paint 24 models on 24 canvases in 20 hours?<br />
 </span></p>
<p><em><span style="font-size: small;">Contact my office or see next week’s Update for the answer.</span></em></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small;">Last week’s riddle: Is there a number made of eleven tens of thousands, eleven thousands, eleven hundreds and eleven units? If so, what is it??</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: x-small;">Last week’s riddle answer: Yes &#8211; the number is 122,111. 110,000 + 11,000 + 1,100 + 11 = 122,111.<br />
 ___________________________________________________________________</span><span style="font-size: small;"><br />
 Rose Greene is a Registered Representative with, and securities are offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: xx-small;">This was prepared by Peter Montoya Inc., and not the presenting Representative or the Representative’s Broker/Dealer, and should not be construed as investment advice. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s 500 (S&amp;P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world&#8217;s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. </span><span style="font-size: xx-small;">www.montoyaregistry.com</span><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;">www.petermontoya.com</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: xx-small;">Citations.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: xx-small;">1 nytimes.com/2010/03/23/health/policy/23health.html?ref=us [3/23/10]<br />
 2 voices.washingtonpost.com/44/2010/03/obama-to-sign-health-care-fixe.html?wprss=44 [3/26/10]<br />
 3 cnn.com/2010/POLITICS/03/21/health.care.main/?hpt=Sbin [3/21/10]<br />
 4 foxbusiness.com/story/markets/industries/industrials/february-new-home-sales&#8211;annual-rate/ [3/24/10]<br />
 5 reuters.com/article/idUSN239670720100324?type=marketsNews [3/24/10]<br />
 6 cnbc.com/id/36057788/page/2/ [3/26/10]<br />
 7 blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2010/03/26/data-points-us-markets-221/ [3/26/10]<br />
 8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=DJIA&amp;close_date=3%2F26%2F09&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]<br />
 8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=COMP&amp;close_date=3%2F26%2F09&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]<br />
 8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=SPX&amp;close_date=3%2F26%2F09&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]<br />
 8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=DJIA&amp;close_date=3%2F25%2F05&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]<br />
 8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=COMP&amp;close_date=3%2F25%2F05&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]<br />
 8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=SPX&amp;close_date=3%2F25%2F05&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]<br />
 8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=DJIA&amp;close_date=3%2F27%2F00&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]<br />
 8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=COMP&amp;close_date=3%2F27%2F00&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]<br />
 8 bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&amp;symbol=SPX&amp;close_date=3%2F27%2F00&amp;x=0&amp;y=0 [3/26/10]<br />
 9 ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield.shtml [3/26/10]<br />
 9 ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield_historical.shtml [3/26/10]<br />
 10 treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2000/ofm11200.pdf [1/12/00]</span></p>
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		<title>A Look at How Fast the Markets Recover Through the Years</title>
		<link>http://moneymattersblog.com/financial-planning/a-look-at-how-fast-the-markets-recover-through-the-years/</link>
		<comments>http://moneymattersblog.com/financial-planning/a-look-at-how-fast-the-markets-recover-through-the-years/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Feb 2010 20:07:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Helena Ruffin</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Provided by Los Angeles Financial Planner, Rose Greene, CFP  The stock market is amazingly resilient. You might be surprised at how fast the stock market can change … for the better. Let’s look at how the market has recovered remarkably – and quickly – from some notable downturns. 2008-2009: The collapse of the subprime mortgage [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p><strong>Provided by Los Angeles Financial Planner, Rose Greene, CFP  <br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong> The stock market is amazingly resilient. </strong></p>
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	<p class="wp-caption-text">The Stock Market can Sometimes Feel like a Roller Coaster Ride</p>
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<p>You might be surprised at how fast the stock market can change … for the better. Let’s look at how the market has recovered remarkably – and quickly – from some notable downturns.</p>
<p><strong>2008-2009: </strong>The collapse of the subprime mortgage markets triggered a recession and made 2008 the poorest year for stocks since 1931. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 10% in June 2008 and fell 10% again in October 2008, losing 19.12% for the year. On March 9, 2009, the major U.S. indices closed at 12-year lows with the S&amp;P 500 at 676.53.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">1,2,3</span></sup></p>
<p>Then the market took off. Investors who swore off stocks in early 2009 lost out on one of the great rallies. <span style="text-decoration: underline;">From the March 9 lows to the end of 2009, the S&amp;P 500 soared 64.83% while the NASDAQ gained 78.87% and the Dow gained 59.28%.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">4 </span></sup></span></p>
<p><strong>2001-2002: </strong>After the four-day closure of the stock market following 9/11, the Dow fell 685 points to 8,920 on September 17. It kept falling, losing 14.26% in a week to close at 8,235 on September 21.  But what happened next? A huge gain. The Dow closed 2001 at 10,021 – <span style="text-decoration: underline;">a 21% rebound in less than three months</span>.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">5</span></sup></p>
<p>There were more challenges ahead. On October 9, 2002, the Dow had fallen to 7,286.  But on Halloween, the Dow sat at 8,397 – <span style="text-decoration: underline;">a 10.6% gain in 22 days</span>.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">5</span></sup></p>
<p>As for the people who panicked and bailed out of the stock market, they ended up kicking themselves:  <span style="text-decoration: underline;">in 2003, the DJIA gained 25.3%, the S&amp;P 500 26.4%, and the NASDAQ 50%.</span><sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">6</span></sup></p>
<p><strong>1987: </strong> October 19 was Black Monday: in a contagion of selling exacerbated by unchecked computer technology, the Dow lost 22.6% in one day, falling to 1,738, a 508-point loss.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">7</span></sup> (That would be akin to a 2,400-point one-day drop today.)  The S&amp;P 500 lost 20.4%.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">8</span></sup> By comparison, the initial “Black Monday”,  the stock market crash of 1929, represented a 12.8% market loss.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">9</span></sup></p>
<p>Then the recovery kicked in. During the next two trading days, the Dow gained nearly 300 points – and it closed 1987 at 1,939, gaining back all of the loss and ending up 2% for the year.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">10</span></sup> By January 1990, the DJIA was at 2,800.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">11</span></sup></p>
<p>If you were fortunate enough to invest $1,000 in the S&amp;P 500 index at the close of Black Monday and reinvested your dividends, you would have wound up with about $10,800 20 years later.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">7</span></sup> If you had invested in the Dow stocks a week before Black Monday, you would have lost 30% on your investment in the crash … but if you held on, your investment would have gained 462% over the next 20 years.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">10</span></sup></p>
<p><strong>1974: </strong> With investors fretting over rising inflation and the energy crisis, the Dow loses 30% of its value during the first three quarters of the year. Suddenly,<span style="text-decoration: underline;"> the Dow gains 16% in October</span>.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">12</span></sup> In early December 1974, the Dow is at 577; in July 1976, it hits 1,011.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">5</span></sup></p>
<p>So while the Dow, S&amp;P and NASDAQ have been through some rough periods (and even a poor decade), the important thing is how they have climbed historically.</p>
<p>On August 12, 1982, the Dow was at 777.  On January 14, 2000, it was at 11,722.98.  That’s a 1,500% gain in 17½ years.<sup><span style="font-size: xx-small;">13</span></sup> This is why people stay in the market through the downturns. This is what the market is capable of achieving. There are periodic descents, but history is definitely on an investor’s side.</p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;">The Dow Jones Industrial Average is comprised of 30 stocks that are major factors in their industries, and widely held by individuals and institutional investors. The Nasdaq Composite Index measures all Nasdaq domestic and non-U.S. based common stocks listed on The Nasdaq Stock Market. The Standard &amp; Poor’s 500 Index is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. Stock Market.</span> </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">This material was prepared by Peter Montoya Inc., not the named Representative nor Broker/Dealer, and should not be construed as investment advice. Neither the named Representative nor Broker/Dealer gives tax or legal advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information. </span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;"> </span></span><strong>Citations.</strong></p>
<ol>
<li><span style="font-size: xx-small;">1 cnbc.com/id/28451744 [12/31/08] </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: xx-small;"> </span><span style="font-size: xx-small;">2 allheadlinenews.com/articles/7013587460 [1/3/09] </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: xx-small;">3 money.cnn.com/2009/03/09/markets/markets_newyork/index.htm [3/9/09] </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: xx-small;">4 cnbc.com/id/34645043 [12/31/09] </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: xx-small;">5 the-privateer.com/chart/dow-long.html [6/30/08] </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: xx-small;">6 upi.com/Business_News/2003/12/31/UPI_NewsTrack_Business/UPI-75601072911443/ [12/31/03] </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: xx-small;">7 sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2007/10/18/BUODSRIN6.DTL&amp;type=printable [10/18/07] </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: xx-small;">8 foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=4026 [10/07] </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: xx-small;">9 money.cnn.com/2004/10/26/markets/1929crash/ [10/26/04] </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: xx-small;">10 articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/Dispatch/BlackMonday20YearsAfter.aspx [10/19/07] </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: xx-small;">11 answers.com/topic/closing-milestones-of-the-dow-jones-industrial-average [7/3/08] 12 money.cnn.com/2008/06/27/markets/bear_market.moneymag/index.htm [6/27/08] </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: xx-small;">13 answers.com/topic/closing-milestones-of-the-dow-jones-industrial-average [7/3/08]</span></li>
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		<title>The Decade in Review &#124; A Look at Stocks, Commodities, and Memories (Good and Bad)</title>
		<link>http://moneymattersblog.com/lpl-financial-research/the-decade-in-review/</link>
		<comments>http://moneymattersblog.com/lpl-financial-research/the-decade-in-review/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jan 2010 00:41:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rose Greene, CFP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[LPL Financial Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dow jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[irrational exuberance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lost decade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NASDAQ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Montoya]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russell 2000]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[A look at stocks, commodities and memories (good and bad) Provided by Los Angeles Financial Planner, Rose Greene, CFP® A turbulent ten years. The 2000s gave us remarkable opportunity and remarkable volatility. They tested our patience, and many investment strategies. They taught us to hold on, hang in there and diversify. Stocks. Was it really [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><h3>A look at stocks, commodities and memories (good and bad)</h3>
<h4>Provided by Los Angeles Financial Planner, Rose Greene, CFP®</h4>
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<p><strong>A turbulent ten years</strong>. The 2000s gave us remarkable opportunity and remarkable volatility. They tested our patience, and many investment strategies. They taught us to hold on, hang in there and diversify.</p>
<p><strong>Stocks. </strong>Was it really a “lost decade”? It depends on how you were invested. Yes, the Dow ended the 1990s at 11,497.12 and ended the 2000s at 10,428.05, amounting to a 9.30% slip. The S&amp;P 500 lost 24.10% in the same interval. If you had invested a lump sum into a security represented on the S&amp;P 500 on December 31, 1999 and left those assets untouched for ten years, you may have ended up with a sizable loss.<sup>1,2</sup></p>
<p>Well, that sounds dismal &#8211; but how many of us actually invest this way? Very few of us make one lump sum investment and just watch it for ten years. Thanks to diversification, rebalancing and constant inflows of new money, there were some investors who were able to grow their assets and/or outperform the S&amp;P 500 in the past decade.</p>
<p>The fact is, five sectors of the S&amp;P 500 gained 10% or more across the 2000s – health care (+10.85%), utilities (+10.92%), materials (+24.91%), consumer staples (+31.84%) and energy (+102.12%).<sup>2</sup></p>
<p>Few articles about the “lost decade” mention this notable factoid: the Russell 2000 advanced 23.90% during the 2000s.<sup>2</sup> Firms that that focused on buying undervalued small-company stocks gained an average of 8.3% annually in the 2000s.<sup>3</sup></p>
<p>Outside America, developing stock markets shattered all expectations while the developed markets mirrored American performance. Look at the decade-long gains in key indices in some of the BRIC nations, as measured by CNBC.com: China, +72%; India, +249%; Brazil, +301%; Russia, +863%. Compare all that with the benchmark indices in Japan (-44%), France (-34%), Great Britain (-22%) and Germany (-14%) in the past decade.<sup>4</sup> Emerging market investment vehicles gained an average of 9.3% per year in the last ten years.<sup>3</sup></p>
<p><strong>Commodities.</strong> It was a decade of amazing gains in the broad commodities market. From the end of 1999 to the end of 2009, gold advanced 278.52%. How about silver and copper? Silver gained 208.91% and king copper rose 287.78%. Crude oil rose 210.00% during the 2000s.<sup>2</sup></p>
<p>How great a decade was it for the commodities sector? Only one notable commodity posted a ten-year loss from 12/31/1999 to 12/31/2009. That was palladium, which retreated 8.98%. On the other hand, we know that 16 commodities gained 100% or more across the decade.<sup>2</sup></p>
<p>The two biggest gainers during the 2000s were a pair of crops: sugar (+340.36%) and cocoa (+293.31%).<sup>2</sup></p>
<p><strong>Highs and lows. </strong>We are 10 years past the bursting of the tech bubble – March 10 will mark the 10<sup>th</sup> anniversary of the NASDAQ’s all-time high of 5,132.50.<sup>5</sup> And of course, a decade-defining geopolitical event rocked the markets 18 months later.</p>
<p>General Motors and Chrysler filed for bankruptcy protection in 2009; at the start of the decade, so did Enron &#8211; the company that <em>Fortune</em> Magazine ranked as “most innovative” each year from 1995-2000.<sup>6</sup> In 2008, Lehman Brothers, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch, and Washington Mutual either folded, mutated, or were bought up while AIG, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae were bailed out.</p>
<p>The Dow hit a new high of 11,723 in January 2000, a post-9/11 closing low of 7,286 in October 2002, and then ended 2003 at 10,453 (as the DJIA gained 25.32% that year while the dollar lost 14.67%). The Dow hit new peaks of 11,727 on October 3, 2006 and 14,164 on October 9, 2007. A close of 11,215 on July 2, 2008 officially marked the start of a bear market.<sup>7</sup></p>
<p>From March 9, 2009 closing lows to the end of the year, the Dow shot up 59.28% and the S&amp;P 500 advanced 64.83%.<sup>2</sup> This led to some to entertain tantalizing thoughts about the birth of a new bull market. Or it is simply a cyclical bull in a secular bear? The jury is still out, as the saying goes; we can hope for the best.</p>
<p><strong>What did we learn? </strong>The 2000s taught us lessons about irrational exuberance (companies that had never made a dime were probably not worth billions) and lessons about the value of diversifying your portfolio. We also learned lessons in perseverance – some of those who stayed invested have seen their portfolios make a strong recovery.</p>
<p>The 2000s put investors through some seemingly unimaginable financial headlines. It was a rare decade, an aberrant one in stock market history – for example, the Dow hadn’t had a negative decade since the 1930s, and it had advanced 228.25% over the 1980s and 317.59% for the 1990s.<sup>8</sup> Will we see it make a double- or triple-digit advance in the next ten years? We don’t know. Past performance is no indicator of future success. Yet the awesome potential of the stock market and commodities markets should not be dismissed – and with economies healing the world over, it is clearly time to look forward and stay invested.</p>
<p>Foreign investments, especially those in emerging markets, involve greater risk and may offer greater potential return than U.S. investments.</p>
<p><em><span style="color: #000000;">Rose Greene, CFP® is a Representative with LPL Financial and may be reached at </span></em><a title="Rose Greene Corporate Website" href="http://www.rosegreene.com" target="_blank">www.rosegreene.com</a> or,  rose at rosegreene dot com</p>
<h6><span style="color: #000000;"> This material was prepared by Peter Montoya Inc., not the named Representative nor Broker/Dealer, and should not be construed as investment advice. Neither the named Representative nor Broker/Dealer gives tax or legal advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information.</span></h6>
<h6><span style="color: #000000;">Citations. </span></h6>
<h6><span style="color: #000000;">1) money.cnn.com/quote/historical/historical.html?pg=hi&amp;close_date=12%2F31%2F99&amp;mode=add&amp;symb=DJIA [1/16/09]  2) cnbc.com/id/34645043 [12/31/09] 3) articles.latimes.com/2009/dec/31/business/la-fi-stocks31-2009dec31?pg=3 [12/31/09] 4) cnbc.com/id/34643111 [12/31/09]  5) smartmoney.com/investing/economy/the-financial-decade-in-review/?page=2 [12/31/09]  6) smartmoney.com/investing/economy/the-financial-decade-in-review/?page=4 [12/31/09]  7) the-privateer.com/chart/dow-long.html [12/31/09] <img src='http://moneymattersblog.com/login/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' /> cnbc.com/id/34619797 [12/29/09]</span></h6>
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